Update March 2020 - Nigeria - For intelligence use only!

2020 NIGERIA
THE SPLIT

SitRep - Update March 2020 
- For intelligence use only! -

The Schism is not just about resources – This 
Situation Report is intended to open up the links between OCG politics and terrorism.

The pursuit of “proxy wars” in sub-Saharan Africa.
The split of Nigeria, justified by its progenitors is a long-term geo-strategic, project facilitated and supported by transnational actors. These consist of ex-presidents, governors, ministers, (former) leaders of industry and organized crime groups.

Motivations.
Nigeria designated Al Qaeda headquarters. In exchange for support, Nigerian and other transnational actors, such as transnational mining and extractive corporations ‘can’ monitor and control the groups.

Al Qaeda rewarded in 2019 the Boko Haram leadership by assigning members, with decades of experience, dating back to the 1990’s.

The Nigerian terrorism and organized crime nexus.
The NEXUS terrorism, Nigerian organized crime, including illicit arms and weapons trafficking, is a severe threat to international peace and security!

The most sophisticated serious threat to Pan-African international peace and security? Without a shadow of a doubt, these are corrupt individuals. Nigeria and specific Nigerians. are subjected to financial US and EU sanctions.

The old adage, “follow the money” and “Qui bono” hold sway here. We cannot name all suspects here. However, striking terror where it hurts, is the wallets and bank accounts of the perpetrators: Proceeds Of Crime law or Unexplained Wealth Orders (UWO’s).
2020 NIGERIA THE SPLIT PDF

Security and Criminal Minds

Interpol

Just how corrupt are the Nigerian security services and police?

In Nigeria, on a population of around two-hundred million, there are approximately three hundred thousand police officers, most of which are providing security and safety services to the (criminally) rich and famous.

Nigerian Military focussed on homeland security
That leaves the solving of a lot of security problems to the underpaid, underfed, and poorly equipped army.
Ruthless methods
The Military applies a cruel way of resolving security threats. Why interview suspects if you can torture them or when a problem cannot be attributed, kill everyone in sight, label the corpses as perpetrators, ransack the village and burn it down to the ground. ....

EFCC-IN-RED

The EFCC

The EFCC investigates and prosecutes financial crimes. The high quality of its staff and prosecution is unmatched in Nigeria. From the start, it continuously strives to be an organization of excellence.

That said, politicians, business people, and organized crime have succeeded to structurally influence the start and outcome of specific EFCC investigations and prosecutions. (H)

"An EFCC controlled by Tinubu is an aberration."

To block and target their enemies and competitors, both politicians and business people make use of an organized crime service that streamlines the petitioning to the EFCC, often using forged documents. (H) (T) .....

All the president's women - Organised Crime Nexus Politics

All the president's women
No cabal in my govt, Buhari tells wife

Between 2007 and 2019, we monitored several suspected and convicted Nigerian fraudsters traveling on government airplanes(H)(T). Also in the entourage of Nigerian presidents on trips to the annual meetings of (not limited to!) the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, African Development Bank (AfDB) in Cote D' Ivoire and the United Nations (U.N.) in New York(H)(T). On occasion, under cover of diplomatic immunity, often supported by staff in a Nigerian embassy (H)(T). NEEDLESS TO SAY, THAT GIVES FRAUDSTERS, THE CREDIBILITY TO DEFRAUD EVEN THE MOST EXPERIENCED AND PRUDENT TARGET. (ULTRASCAN-AGI) ....

Money Laundering

Nigeria preferred transit country for traffickers

In the corrupt society of Nigeria, transnational money laundering is a necessity and on an industrious scale facilitated by many local and national governments, international banks, change offices, oil companies, in-export companies, churches, telecom, and bandwidth providers, etcetera.

During investigations within the Nexus Politics-Organized Crime-Terrorism, we recorded payments, notable from (not limited to!) Lebanon, Somalia, South-Africa for arms shipments to (not limited to!) Nigeria, Sudan, and Somalia.

Corruption – are they all genuinely corrupt, even the unborn?
its standard practice for politicians to reward loyalty and support with government contracts or jobs....

President Muhammadu Buhari- I SAID I WOULD, BUT I’M NOT SIGNING THE PROCEEDS OF CRIME LAW

President Muhammadu Buhari
I’M NOT SIGNING THE PROCEEDS OF CRIME LAW

Serious health issuesThe Chinese built a clinic in a house in Abuja for him to receive Stem cell treatment.

Buhari promised Nigerians and the international community a Proceeds Of Crime law (POC) that enabled retrieving proceeds of crime and monies stolen from the coffers of the state. However, after the POC law had passed through the National Assembly, it had become apparent that it would also target many in his government, and he refused to sign a for Nigeria fundamental law.

Assassination at handshake distance - With only criminal minds around him, Boko Haram is not the only one capable and preparing for an untimely end of his presidency. …..

The First Lady Aisha Buhari - Underestimated one-woman-powerhouse

The First Lady Aisha Buhari
 Underestimated one-woman-powerhouse

Her power lies in the fact that the men in power underestimate her. They can't see past her "lack of education" and her veil. SHE IS THE MASTER REPRESENTATIVE OF "THE CABAL"

Criminal ecosystem or very fond of her privacy?
In London she prefers to rent luxury apartments.
Once her husband won the 2015 elections, business and organized crime started to court his wife for government favors. Millions in cash payments and prepaid cards were delivered.

First Lady, what's in the bag?
To pay the rent she arrived with a bag with unopened envelopes from U.S. and Canadian banks. Opened one after the other and used the cards to pay the amount in full....

Nigeria The Split

Adamawa and Kwara States are the strategic and preferred targets for Boko Haram

To split Nigeria, the currently active and sleeping insurgencies in the north, northeast, resurgent intensity in its oil-producing Niger Delta and south are strategically not sufficient. Last year Shekau's Boko Haram (BH1) stepped up violence in Adamawa state where it has a presence since 2009.

Part-time terrorists and full-time criminals
Local and transnational organized crime supports the presence of Boko Haram in Kwara. Its silent focus is the economy, the supply chains for prime consumer goods, and social coherence. That which makes it unique is the co-operation and strategic alliances between Christian and Muslim groups. It is living proof that money and profit are the driving factors that have instigated a unique relationship of mutual beneficence between the two. Both are part-time terrorists and full-time criminals.

Kwara State is the ONLY northern state where Muslims and Christians live side by side without war! A befitting target for al Qaeda affiliates.

ALERT ! - Boko Haram invested significant resources in Kwara State, where it developed a not yet exposed growing presence since 2017.


Ongoing AML investigations revealed local and foreign financial support via Qatar and structural support via Turkey. (H) (T)

In 2019 Al Qaeda honored Boko Haram by assigning members with decades of experience dating back to the '90s in Yemen and Sudan. (H) (T)

Kwara State is the ONLY northern state where Muslims and Christians live side by side without war! A befitting target for al Qaeda affiliates

Splitting Nigeria

National unity is the biggest challenge in Nigeria

Issues of sovereignty and nationalism

In Africa, tribal identity politics come into play based on the survival of tribes. Instead of economic gain, ideology provides a moral reason for people who are fighting or give up resources to the fight.

The African agenda

Because of the heightened sense of urgency after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, not only the intelligence services but also mission strategists of al Qaeda's were interested in "the African agenda" of the Bush administration. (H) (ULTRASCAN HUMINT) The group was alerted in September 2008 when the then-Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice paid a visit to Tripoli, Libya, and met with Qaddafi (Gaddafi). Weapons, mercenaries trained by Libya stoke regional conflicts funded with Libya's gold bullion.

Condoleezza Rice paid a visit to Tripoli, Libya, and met with Qaddafi

Gaddafi - the United States of Africa

Recognizing the potential long-term, Gaddafi aligned his actions with "the African agenda" of the Bush administration. To gain influence throughout the continent, Gaddafi was "intimidating" many African heads of state and government. From February 2009, Gaddafi (Qaddafi) promoted the concept of a "United States of Africa."

Similar to some other world leaders, Libya's Muammar Gaddafi is known for his theatrics and grandstanding that buries significant facts by adding fantastic and irrelevant context. It takes an experienced observer to recognize the bits of high-value intelligence in a blur of grandstanding.

Ethnic or religious lines

In March 2010, improving his knowledge about the composition of Nigeria's population, after previously saying that to end communal clashes, a "deep conflict of religious nature," it should be divided into two - along religious lines, a Muslim and a Christian country. Gaddafi said Nigeria should be divided into several states along ethnic lines.

Military adventurists 

Former Chief of Army Staff Lt. General Abdulrahman Bello Dambazau has alerted the nation of overt and covert moves by military adventurists to Interfere In the politics of the country.

AQIM - Abdelmalek Droukdel – Jihad

(2009) Following an outbreak of sectarian violence, the leader of North Africa's Al Qaida branch offered training and weapons to Nigeria's Muslims to fight the Christians there. Abdelmalek Droukdel, leader of Al Qaida in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), in a statement posted on an Islamic Web site, accused Nigeria's Christians of killing hundreds of Muslims in a 'Crusader war.'

Droukdel promised to train Muslim youths, supply them with weapons and equipment. "We are ready to train your sons using weapons, support them with men, weapons, ammunition, and equipment, to enable them to defend themselves." He said, urging Nigerians to "push your sons into the fields of jihad to become the fighting vanguard in defense of the Muslims' blood and honor." 

Nigeria designated Al Qaeda headquarters

The bond al Qaeda - Fulani

In recent decades Al Qaeda created a relationship with the semi-nomad Fulani by often depending on them for logistics. The Fulani, one of the largest ethnic groups in the Sahel and West Africa, is almost exclusively Muslim. National unity is the biggest challenge in Nigeria; in 2009, Al Qaeda started to groom Fulani to alienate them and disrupt the national federation of Nigeria. (H)

Nigeria designated Al Qaeda headquarters

Boko Haram must be considered the most advanced, well prepared, disciplined, and robust financed terror organization in 50 years. Very effective!

A decade of sustained "presence and fear" established Boko Haram as a reliable affiliate of al Qaeda.

Tipping point

Al Qaeda rewarded in 2019 the Boko Haram leadership by assigning members, with decades of experience dating back to the '90s in Yemen and Sudan

In consultation with Bola Tinubu, the Kano state Governor Ganduje dethroned Emir Sanusi II over disrespect to the lawful authorities. (H)

Foreign influence

African states cannot govern themselves
The basis for current geo-policy for Africa is dating back to the 19th and the first half of the 20th century. One of the most controversial visions within the West's current leadership is that, with some exceptions, African States cannot or are incapable of governing themselves: A statement verging on blatant racism and eugenics.

Opposing geostrategies for Africa all about the resources, financing, and debts

The US, Canada, UK, Europe, Russia, Turkey, Iran, Libya, Egypt, Israel, UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, India, China, North Korea, South Korea, …..

The superpowers' pursuit of "proxy wars" in sub-Sahara Africa and Latin America

Since the 9/11 attacks, the West has started limited wars. But Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya show: that those wars become protracted, indecisive, and outright failures …… or not, depending on the focus, scope, and desired results, some within the intelligence services consider those wars a blatant success in a long-term geo-strategy. (H)

Fourth-generation warfare (4GW) is conflict characterized by a blurring of the lines between war and politics, combatants, and civilians.

Fought at a distance, except for terrorism in the homeland, proxy wars have minimal risk

Synergy limits the "proxy" strategy by the “nexus of organized crime, politics, and terrorism” that defines the opportunities, scope, and strength of instruments available within the chosen realm. Finance, economy, commodities and financial markets, depreciation of currencies, organized crime, military, Information warfare, refugee flows, humanitarian, health, education, media, support for political and ethnic opponents, extremist and terrorism ….. all instruments criminally applied on Nigeria (Africa).

Financial Sanctions

Banks (financial institutions) say goodbye to Africa

Banks from the U.S., U.K., and Europe have withdrawn from the African continent. Their branches elsewhere have limited and stopped service to African PEPs. Non-African Banks (financial institutions) with African owners are under the scrutiny of the financial regulators. (H) (T) (ULTRASCAN-FIU)

Nigeria and specific Nigerians. are subjected to financial US and EU sanctions

Terrorist spread viral disease - Biowarfare and bioterrorism

Alert 25 February 2020 - Terrorists spread Poliovirus (WPV1-cVDPV2)
When terrorists suffer losses and loss of territory caused by Military pressure, that frees resources for asymmetrical threats inside and outside their initial area. Fighters ….. from Afghanistan, Nigeria, Pakistan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Syria, Libya, Somalia, Mali, Burkina Faso, Chad, …… move hundreds or thousands of miles, bringing along infectious disease uncommon to their destination. 

Alert! - Humint from inside Boko Haram, Surveillance and Counter Surveillance revealed Travel Patterns. In essence, Boko Haram terrorist(s) infected with poliovirus traveled 800 miles from their base in North-East Nigeria, (unwittingly?) bringing polio to areas of Africa where it was eradicated long ago. (H)

Note - intelligence operations regarding viral agents from Afghanistan and Nigeria, revealed a connection between viral agents and mining companies.

Polio (eradication) in Nigeria (WPV1)
Solution 2020 NIGERIA THE SPLIT PDF

No dialogue or 'peace processes' but a rapid response 

Although shaped by years of academic study and research this is written from a practitioner's point of view. It does not offer dialogue or 'peace processes' but rather a rapid response solution to extinguish via a violent antidote and put to death a poisonous ideology that has become an hybrid of greed, profit and power masquerading as a religion. We need to cut off their money supply and obviously funding is required for those of us that are able to do this. HUMINT on the ground can easily pave the way and enter the fray to eliminate the threat scenario.

The greater threat

Revolutionary armed gangs with exclusive ideologies target civilian groups to a greater degree than those that are hybrids of organised crime gangs and terrorists, part time terrorists but full time criminals such as the 'ndrangheta who supplied passports to the Madrid al-Qaeda cell in exchange for heroin and cocaine. Who then inflicted the Madrid train bombings leading to Spain withdrawing from Iraq. They consider themselves to have a greater degree of understanding than 'inclusive' groups engaging in 'legitimate' targeting. This makes them a greater threat because they seek to legitimise civilian fatalities 'for the greater good' or because it helps them to reach their goals quicker.

Terror nexus crime money 2020 NIGERIA THE SPLIT PDF

January 2020 - Alert!

Spymaster Qasem Soleimani

Iran 2020 - Alert!

It's impossible to overstate the significance of General Qasem Soleimani's killing!

Taking out the spymaster who was successfully building an empire across the shiite crescent.

For Iran this means a long term degrading of a strategic capability.

General Soleimani was the real boss of Hezbollah.
With his death Iran not just lost control over its international organized crime, money laundering and terrorism organization.

General Esmail Ghaani - New spymaster QUD Force Iran IRGC

The roots with Hezbollah run deeper than that. His death is disrupting their global operations and across the region.

General Esmail Ghaani of Quds Force is the new spymaster. With as specialty counter intelligence.
 
His remit was east of Iran like Afghanistan and Pakistan where he gained influence with the Taliban and al Qaeda (affiliates).

Threats from Iran are usually veiled by proxies.

The people of Iran were emotionally raided by the killing of General Soleimani.

Possible Head of State assassination plot - Trunp

Therefore revenge attacks will only be effective if straightforward, within the military realm and/or in any way establish...

"SHOCK and AWE"



or


falls in that category and within Iran's capabilities

Ali Khamenei - Supreme Leader of Iran

The USA will relapse into the usual political dilly-dally!

"Seemingly" unwilling to support aggressive steps when necessary.

By doing so, it is leaving its allies in the Middle East and western Europe at their own peril!

An opportunity for aggressors to show off their most devastating and geopolitically disruptive weapons.

The damage will be done and to (avoid or) revenge such attacks by Iran, a topple of their government is in the intelligence cards.

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